Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.004633 0.005236 0.005922 0.006767 0.007790 0.009002 0.010567
2025-12-14 0.003756 0.004502 0.005426 0.006678 0.008374 0.010655 0.014077
2025-12-21 0.003358 0.004193 0.005291 0.006892 0.009258 0.012796 0.018874
2025-12-28 0.003117 0.004022 0.005274 0.007214 0.010312 0.015431 0.025509
2026-01-04 0.002871 0.003799 0.005133 0.007304 0.011003 0.017665 0.032558
2026-01-11 0.002636 0.003559 0.004926 0.007239 0.011401 0.019481 0.039811
2026-01-18 0.002462 0.003383 0.004788 0.007255 0.011932 0.021724 0.049667
2026-01-25 0.002276 0.003171 0.004565 0.007086 0.012066 0.023164 0.058535
2026-02-01 0.002088 0.002939 0.004284 0.006770 0.011838 0.023694 0.065067
2026-02-08 0.001923 0.002729 0.004020 0.006451 0.011541 0.023968 0.071096
2026-02-15 0.001846 0.002652 0.003972 0.006527 0.012114 0.026733 0.090773
2026-02-22 0.001744 0.002528 0.003830 0.006402 0.012203 0.028198 0.106830
2026-03-01 0.001628 0.002381 0.003648 0.006201 0.012141 0.029413 0.125665
2026-03-08 0.001541 0.002275 0.003532 0.006124 0.012380 0.031801 0.159483
2026-03-15 0.001499 0.002243 0.003544 0.006314 0.013353 0.037391 0.244268
2026-03-22 0.001472 0.002233 0.003596 0.006598 0.014679 0.045521 0.429610
2026-03-29 0.001422 0.002180 0.003559 0.006677 0.015449 0.052078 0.704416
2026-04-05 0.001361 0.002103 0.003470 0.006620 0.015790 0.056958 1.089005
2026-04-12 0.001313 0.002045 0.003413 0.006635 0.016373 0.063929 1.996277
2026-04-19 0.001252 0.001961 0.003296 0.006485 0.016369 0.067473 3.183482
2026-04-26 0.001183 0.001858 0.003135 0.006205 0.015848 0.067242 4.095210
2026-05-03 0.001119 0.001759 0.002978 0.005923 0.015262 0.066240 5.035055
2026-05-10 0.001091 0.001729 0.002958 0.005990 0.015981 0.075835 18.501639